Upset Watch
Our Upset Potential Index (UPI) analyzes situational factors, statistical edges, and market signals to identify games where underdogs have the best chance to pull off an upset.
Games This Week
4
Upset Alerts
1
Upset Watch
2
Week
18
Upset Alerts
(UPI 70+)BUF@KC
Tue, Feb 3 • 3:05 AMKC -3.5 • BUF +3.5
78
UPI
Contributing Factors
+22Rest Disadvantage
+18Bills Recent Form
+15Line Movement
Upset Watch
(UPI 50-69)GB@DET
Wed, Feb 4 • 3:05 AMDET -7 • GB +7
62
UPI
Contributing Factors
+15Divisional Revenge
+12Injuries
CIN@BAL
Thu, Feb 5 • 3:05 AMBAL -6.5 • CIN +6.5
55
UPI
Contributing Factors
+10Divisional Game
+12Burrow Factor
Standard
(UPI <50)SEA@SF
Wed, Feb 4 • 3:05 AMSF -10 • SEA +10
45
UPI
How UPI is Calculated
40%Situational Factors
- • Rest advantage/disadvantage
- • Travel distance
- • Lookahead/letdown spots
- • Divisional revenge
35%Statistical Edge
- • DVOA differential
- • Recent form (last 5)
- • ATS performance
- • Key matchup advantages
25%Market Signals
- • Line movement
- • Public betting %
- • Sharp money indicators
- • Closing line value